Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The Miami (OH) RedHawks (12-18, 6-11 MAC) will try to extend a four-game winning run when visiting the Buffalo Bulls (14-16, 8-9 MAC) on Friday, March 3, 2023 at Alumni Arena. This matchup is at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Buffalo is a strong 8.5-point favorite against Miami (OH) when the Bulls take the court against the RedHawks on Friday. The game has a point total of 152.5.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Point Spread for Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Buffalo as the favorite.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Buffalo has -389 odds to pick up the win, while Miami (OH) is listed at +309 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 152.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Buffalo, New York
  • Arena: Alumni Arena

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Betting Trends

Buffalo has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this season. The Bulls have been chosen as favorites in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (70%) in those games. Buffalo has gone over the point total in 55.6% of its opportunities this year (15 times over 27 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Miami (OH) is 13-14-0 this year. The RedHawks have won 26.3% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (5-14). Miami (OH)’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 51.9% of the time (14 out of 27 games with a set point total).

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Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Key Players to Watch


Curtis Jones puts up 15.1 points and 3.1 assists per game — both team highs. He is also posting 4.9 rebounds, shooting 41.3% from the floor and 36.3% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game. LaQuill Hardnett leads his squad in rebounds per game (7.3), and also puts up 10.8 points and 1.2 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Zid Powell is putting up 12.1 points, 2.6 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game. Isaiah Adams is averaging 11.6 points, 1.4 assists and 5 rebounds per contest.

Miami (OH)

The RedHawks get 14.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Anderson Mirambeaux. Morgan Safford is putting up a team-high 5.9 rebounds per game. And he is producing 15.2 points and 2.4 assists, making 47.2% of his shots from the field and 34.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest. The RedHawks get 8.7 points, 2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Ryan Mabrey.

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What you need to know about the Buffalo Bulls

Buffalo has won eight games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover nine times. The Bulls’ offense, which ranks 44th in college basketball with 77.9 points per game, has played better than their 13th-worst defense (77.4 points allowed per game). Buffalo is 33rd in college basketball with 34.8 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 247th with 32 rebounds allowed per game.

In home games, the Bulls are posting 8.6 more points per game (83.2) than they are in road games (74.6). Buffalo is making 7.1 threes per game (215th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 32.4% shooting percentage (281st-ranked) from three-point land. The Bulls are ceding 7.5 three-pointers per game (215th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 34.5% (224th-ranked) from downtown.

The Bulls are 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their past 10 games. Buffalo has gone over the total in five of its last 10 games. On the offensive side of the ball, Buffalo has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 73 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 77.9 it has racked up over the course of this season. Buffalo’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (78.2) is 0.8 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (77.4).

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What you need to know about the Miami (OH) RedHawks

So far this season, seven out of Miami (OH)’s 17 MAC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The RedHawks put up 74 points per game and allow 74.2, ranking them 124th in the country on offense and 296th on defense. Miami (OH) is 306th in the nation in rebounds per game (29.2) and 212th in rebounds conceded (31.6).

The RedHawks average 78.1 points per game at home, and 68.8 on the road. Beyond the arc, Miami (OH) is 110th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (8). It is 192nd in 3-point percentage at 34.1%. Defensively, the RedHawks are 182nd in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.2. They are 219th in 3-point percentage allowed at 34.4%.

The RedHawks have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their past 10 contests. Miami (OH) has gone over the total in three of its last 10 outings. While Miami (OH) is posting 74 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, amassing 73.3 points per contest. Over their last 10 games, the RedHawks are ceding 72.6 points per game, 1.6 fewer points than their season average (74.2).

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Buffalo, and we project that Miami (OH) will cover the spread (Buffalo -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 152.5 points.

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How to bet Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)

You can bet on Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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