Boise State vs UNLV Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Boise State Broncos (23-8, 13-5 MWC) will square off against the No. 7 seed UNLV Rebels (19-12, 7-11 MWC) in the MWC Tournament Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, beginning at 9:00 PM.

Thursday’s game between the Broncos and the Rebels sees the Broncos as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 137.

Boise State vs. UNLV Odds

Point Spread for Boise State vs. UNLV

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Boise State as the favorite.

Boise State vs. UNLV Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Boise State has -230 odds to pick up the win, while UNLV is listed at +188 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 137 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Boise State vs. UNLV Betting Trends

Boise State has 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Broncos have won in 16, or 80%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Boise State’s games this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (15 out of 30 games with a set point total).

UNLV has 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Rebels have won four of the nine games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (44.4%). UNLV’s games this season have gone over the total in 20 of 30 opportunities (66.7%).

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Boise State vs. UNLV Key Players to Watch

Boise State

Tyson Degenhart is putting up 14.3 points, 1.8 assists and 5.3 rebounds per game. Marcus Shaver Jr. leads his team in both rebounds (5.9) and assists (3.8) per game, and also averages 13.3 points. At the other end, he delivers 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Max Rice is tops on the Broncos with 14.4 points per game and 1.7 assists, while also putting up 4.7 rebounds. Naje Smith posts 9.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 51.8% from the floor.


The Rebels receive 11.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game from Keshon Gilbert. Luis Rodriguez is the Rebels’ top rebounder (5.8 per game), and he delivers 10.9 points and 1.2 assists. The Rebels receive 4.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 0.4 assists per game from David Muoka.

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What you need to know about the Boise State Broncos

Boise State and its MWC opponents have combined to go over the point total 13 out of 18 times this season. The Broncos rank 171st in the nation with 72.1 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 29th with 63.7 points allowed per contest. With 33.4 rebounds per game, Boise State is 83rd in the country. It surrenders 29.1 rebounds per contest, which ranks 61st in college basketball.

Boise State is sinking 7.8 three-pointers per game (126th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 36.2% shooting percentage (69th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With a 30.2% three-point percentage allowed this season, the Broncos are 19th-best in the country. They rank 51st in college basketball by ceding 6.2 three-pointers per contest.

The Broncos have covered the spread twice, and are 7-3 overall, over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Boise State has gone over the total six times. Boise State has been scoring 70.8 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 72.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Boise State has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 69 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 63.7 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the UNLV Rebels

UNLV has covered nine times in 19 chances against the spread in conference play this season. The Rebels put up 74.2 points per game and allow 69.5, making them 121st in the nation offensively and 157th defensively. In 2022-23, UNLV is 220th in college basketball in rebounds (31.2 per game) and 309th in rebounds allowed (33.3).

In 2022-23, UNLV is 103rd in the country in 3-point makes (8 per game) and 167th in 3-point percentage (34.5%). Defensively, the Rebels are 332nd in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 8.7. They are 277th in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.3%.

The Rebels have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, UNLV has hit the over six times. In its previous 10 games, UNLV is putting up 70.4 points per contest, 3.8 fewer points than its season average (74.2). The Rebels are ceding 72.3 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 2.8 more points than they are allowing for the season (69.5).

Boise State vs. UNLV Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Boise State, and we project that Boise State will cover the spread (Boise State -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137 points.

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How to bet Boise State vs. UNLV

You can bet on Boise State vs. UNLV at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Boise State vs. UNLV picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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