Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetEpskB9z Betsperts Media & Technology

The Iowa State Cyclones (17-12, 8-9 Big 12) will try to stop a seven-game road skid when visiting the Baylor Bears (22-8, 11-6 Big 12) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Ferrell Center, airing at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2.

The Bears face the Cyclones in a game that Baylor is currently a strong favorite by 7.5 points. The over/under is 134 points for the matchup.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds

Point Spread for Baylor vs. Iowa State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Baylor as the favorite.

Baylor vs. Iowa State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Baylor has -350 odds to pick up the win, while Iowa State is listed at +277 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 134 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Arena: Ferrell Center

Baylor vs. Iowa State Betting Trends

In Baylor’s 30 games this season, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Bears have been chosen as favorites in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (75%) in those games. Baylor has eclipsed the over/under in 55.2% of its opportunities this year (16 times over 29 games with a set point total).

Iowa State has 14 wins against the spread in 29 games this year. The Cyclones have been the underdog on the moneyline 14 total times this season. They’ve finished 6-8 in those games. Iowa State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 34.5% of the time (10 out of 29 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Baylor vs. Iowa State Key Players to Watch


Adam Flagler is tops on his squad in assists per contest (4.9), and also puts up 15.4 points and 2.5 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Keyonte George posts a team-leading 16.3 points per contest. He is also averaging 4.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists, shooting 39.1% from the field and 35.6% from downtown with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Jalen Bridges leads his squad in rebounds per contest (5.8), and also puts up 9.9 points and 1 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.8 steals and 1.1 blocked shots. LJ Cryer averages 14.7 points, 2.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 45.4% from the floor and 42.2% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game.

Iowa State

Jaren Holmes is the Cyclones’ top scorer (13.1 points per game) and assist man (3.2), and produces 3.6 rebounds. Tamin Lipsey is registering a team-high 4.6 assists per game. He’s also producing 7.5 points and 3.7 rebounds, hitting 50.9% of his shots from the floor. The Cyclones receive 12.8 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Gabe Kalscheur. Osun Osunniyi paces the Cyclones in rebounding (4.1 per game), and posts 8.7 points and 1.2 assists. He also delivers 0.4 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the Baylor Bears

Baylor has covered 10 times in 17 matchups with a spread in conference play this season. So far this season, the Bears are scoring 78 points per game (42nd-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 69.9 points per contest (176th-ranked). This year, Baylor is averaging 31.1 rebounds per game (225th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 28.6 rebounds per contest (46th-ranked).

At home, the Bears are scoring 12.7 more points per game (83.8) than they are in away games (71.1). Baylor ranks 20th-best in college basketball by draining 9.5 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 51st in college basketball at 36.8%. So far this season, the Bears are allowing 6.8 threes per game (128th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 31.9% (66th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Bears are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. Five of Baylor’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. On offense, Baylor has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 75.1 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 78 it has put up over the course of this season. Baylor has been more porous on defense lately, giving up 71.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.9 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Iowa State Cyclones

Iowa State has covered eight times in 17 chances against the spread in conference play this year. Offensively, the Cyclones are the 269th-ranked team in the nation (68.3 points per game). On defense, they are 20th-best (62.3 points conceded per game). On the glass, Iowa State is 273rd in the nation in rebounds (30.1 per game). It is 34th in rebounds allowed (28.3 per game).

The Cyclones average 72 points per game at home, and 62.5 away. With 6.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.5% from beyond the arc, Iowa State is 264th and 226th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Cyclones are 206th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (7.4 per game) and 134th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.1%).

The Cyclones have two wins against the spread, and are 2-8 overall, over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Iowa State has gone over the total three times. In its last 10 games, Iowa State is putting up 63.1 points per contest, 5.2 fewer points than its season average (68.3). In their last 10 games, the Cyclones are allowing 67.6 points per contest, 5.3 more points than their season average (62.3).

Baylor vs. Iowa State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Baylor, and we predict that Iowa State will cover the spread (Baylor -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Baylor vs. Iowa State

You can bet on Baylor vs. Iowa State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Baylor vs. Iowa State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

Deals of the Day

See All