Baylor vs Arkansas Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, January 28, 2023

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The Baylor Bears (15-5) will try to build on a five-game winning stretch when hosting the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-6) on Saturday, January 28, 2023 at Ferrell Center. This matchup is at 4:00 PM ET.

Baylor is a strong 6.5-point favorite against Arkansas when the Bears face off against the Razorbacks on Saturday. A 143.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Baylor vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for Baylor vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing Baylor as the favorite.

Baylor vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Baylor has -277 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at +222 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 143.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Location: Waco, Texas
  • Arena: Ferrell Center

Baylor vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

Against the spread, Baylor is 10-10-0 this year. The Bears have won in 11, or 68.8%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Baylor’s games this year have gone over the total in 11 out of 20 opportunities (55%).

Arkansas has played 20 games, with nine wins, against the spread. The Razorbacks have gone 1-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games). Arkansas’ games this season have hit the over on six of 20 set point totals (30%).

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Baylor vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch


Keyonte George leads his squad in both points (16.9) and assists (3.3) per game, and also averages 4.6 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.2 blocked shots. Adam Flagler paces his team in assists per game (5.1), and also averages 16.1 points and 2.4 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Jalen Bridges averages a team-high 5.7 rebounds per contest. He is also averaging 9.6 points and 1.1 assists, shooting 50.7% from the floor. LJ Cryer is posting 14.2 points, 2.1 assists and 2.1 rebounds per contest.


Anthony Black is the Razorbacks’ top assist man (4.0 per game), and he delivers 12.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Ricky Council IV paces the Razorbacks in scoring (16.8 points per game) and assists (2.4), and posts 3.2 rebounds. He also averages 1.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Makhi Mitchell is the Razorbacks’ top rebounder (5.9 per game), and he puts up 7.7 points and 1.1 assists. Davonte Davis gives the Razorbacks 10.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He also puts up 1.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Baylor Bears

Offensively, the Bears are averaging 79.4 points per game (31st-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 69.3 points per contest at the other end of the court (176th-ranked). Baylor is pulling down 32.2 boards per game (174th-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 27.9 rebounds per contest (32nd-ranked).

The Bears are averaging 85.6 points per game at home. In away games, they are averaging 71.6 points per contest. Baylor is top-25 this season in three-point shooting, ranking 21st-best in college basketball with 9.4 three-pointers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 88th with a 35.8% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Bears are ceding 7.1 treys per game (168th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 32.9% (151st-ranked) from three-point land.

The Bears have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. Baylor has hit the over in five of its last 10 games. On offense, Baylor has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 76.2 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 79.4 it has racked up over the course of this year. Baylor has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 70.5 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.3 it has surrendered this season.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Offensively the Razorbacks are the 101st-ranked team in the country (75.1 points per game). Defensively they are 63rd (65.0 points conceded per game). On the boards, Arkansas is 126th in the country in rebounds (33.2 per game). It is 25th-best in rebounds allowed (27.8 per game).

At home the Razorbacks are scoring 74.2 points per game, 5.2 more than they are averaging on the road (69.0). In 2022-23 Arkansas is 10th-worst in the nation in 3-point makes (5.0 per game) and rank 321st in 3-point percentage (30.8%). In 2022-23 the Razorbacks are 21st-best in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (5.5 per game) and 62nd in defensive 3-point percentage (31.0%).

The Razorbacks have gone 5-5 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Arkansas has gone over the total twice. While Arkansas is averaging 75.1 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its previous 10 games, producing 70.9 points per contest. Over their last 10 games, the Razorbacks are surrendering 66.5 points per contest, 1.5 more points than their season average (65.0).

Baylor vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Baylor, and we predict that Arkansas will cover the spread (Baylor -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 143.5 points.

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How to bet Baylor vs. Arkansas

You can bet on Baylor vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Baylor vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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