Arkansas vs Vanderbilt Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, January 14, 2023

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The Vanderbilt Commodores (8-8, 1-2 SEC) will look to continue a three-game home winning streak when squaring off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-4, 1-3 SEC) on Saturday, January 14, 2023 at Memorial Gymnasium, airing at 2:00 PM ET.

The Razorbacks play the Commodores in a game that Arkansas is currently a small favorite by 3.5 points. The game has a point total of 141.5.

Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread for Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Arkansas as the favorite.

Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arkansas has -167 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +141 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 141.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Memorial Gymnasium

Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt Betting Trends

Arkansas has played 16 games, with seven wins against the spread. The Razorbacks have been victorious in 11, or 78.6%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Arkansas’ games this year have gone over the total in four out of 16 opportunities (25%).

In Vanderbilt’s 16 games this year, it has seven wins against the spread. The Commodores have been the underdog on the moneyline seven total times this season. They’ve finished 1-6 in those games. Vanderbilt’s games this season have gone over the point total 56.2% of the time (nine out of 16 games with a set point total).

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Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch

Arkansas

Ricky Council IV leads his team in points per contest (17.9), and also puts up 3.1 rebounds and 2.4 assists. Defensively, he posts 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Anthony Black posts a team-leading 3.6 assists per game. He is also averaging 12 points and 5.1 rebounds, shooting 45.9% from the floor. Makhi Mitchell paces the Razorbacks at 5.6 rebounds per contest, while also posting 1.2 assists and 7.6 points. Davonte Davis puts up 8.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Defensively, he delivers 1.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Vanderbilt

Liam Robbins tops the Commodores in scoring (13.2 points per game) and rebounding (6.1), and posts 1.3 assists. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 2.8 blocked shots (fourth in college basketball). Ezra Manjon is the Commodores’ top assist man (3.1 per game), and he averages 8.8 points and 3.3 rebounds. Jordan Wright is putting up 10.3 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 41.9% of his shots from the field and 29.8% from beyond the arc, with 1 treys per contest. Myles Stute gets the Commodores 10.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game. He also averages 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

This season, the Razorbacks are putting up 75.8 points per game (97th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 64.2 points per contest (54th-ranked). Arkansas is averaging 33.8 boards per game (116th-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 28.1 rebounds per contest (31st-ranked).

In terms of three-pointers, Arkansas is coming up short, as it ranks fifth-worst in college basketball in threes made (4.6 per game) and eighth-worst in three-point percentage (28.4%). The Razorbacks rank top-25 this season in three-pointers allowed, currently 24th-best in college basketball with 5.5 treys allowed per game. Meanwhile, they rank 43rd with a 30.1% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Razorbacks have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. In Arkansas’ past 10 contests, it has hit the over twice. Arkansas’ offense has been worse over its last 10 games, scoring 74.6 points a contest compared to the 75.8 it has averaged this year. Arkansas’ points-allowed average over its past 10 games (64.7) is 0.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (64.2).

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What you need to know about the Vanderbilt Commodores

The Commodores are 188th in the country in points scored (71.4 per game) and 167th in points allowed (68.6). In 2022-23, Vanderbilt is 61st in college basketball in rebounds (35.1 per game) and 161st in rebounds conceded (30.8).

In 2022-23 the Commodores are scoring 4.9 fewer points per game at home (71.1) than away (76). Beyond the arc, Vanderbilt is 111th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (8.1). It is 252nd in 3-point percentage at 32.5%. The Commodores give up 6.6 3-pointers per game and concede 30.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 114th and 73rd, respectively, in the nation.

The Commodores have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Vanderbilt has hit the over in six of its past 10 games. Vanderbilt has played better offensively in its last 10 games, generating 73 points per contest, 1.6 more than its season average of 71.4. Over their last 10 games, the Commodores are surrendering 69.8 points per game, 1.2 more points than their season average (68.6).

Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Arkansas, and we expect that Arkansas will cover the spread (Arkansas -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 141.5 points.

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How to bet Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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