Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, January 11, 2023

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (13-2, 3-0 SEC) will try to extend a four-game road winning streak when squaring off versus the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-3, 1-2 SEC) on Wednesday, January 11, 2023 at Bud Walton Arena, airing at 7:00 PM ET.

The Razorbacks are currently slight 1-point favorites against the Crimson Tide. The game’s over/under is 153.5.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Odds

Point Spread for Arkansas vs. Alabama

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with bookmakers listing Arkansas as the favorite.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arkansas has -115 odds to pick up the win, while Alabama is listed at -106 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 153.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, January 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Alabama Betting Trends

In the Arkansas’ 15 games this season, it has seven wins against the spread. The Razorbacks have been favorites in 13 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (84.6%) in those contests. Arkansas’ games this year have eclipsed the over/under four times in 15 opportunities (26.7%).

Alabama has nine wins against the spread in 15 games this season. The Crimson Tide have been listed as the moneyline underdog only one other time so far this season, a game they won. Alabama’s games this year have hit the over on eight of 15 set point totals (53.3%).

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Arkansas vs. Alabama Key Players to Watch

Arkansas

Ricky Council IV paces his team in points per game (18.1), and also posts 3.2 rebounds and 2.3 assists. Defensively, he delivers 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Anthony Black paces the Razorbacks at 3.8 assists per contest, while also posting 5.1 rebounds and 12.5 points. Makhi Mitchell posts 7.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 1.2 steals and 1.5 blocked shots. Jordan Walsh averages 7.7 points, 4 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Alabama

Brandon Miller is averaging team highs in points (19.1 per game) and rebounds (8.5). And he is producing 1.9 assists, making 43.3% of his shots from the field and 43.5% from beyond the arc, with 3.1 triples per contest. Mark Sears is putting up 14.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest, making 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 41.9% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per contest. Noah Clowney tops the Crimson Tide in rebounding (8.5 per game), and puts up 9.6 points and 0.9 assists. He also averages 0.6 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. The Crimson Tide get 5.7 points, 6.3 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game from Charles Bediako.

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

This season, the Razorbacks are posting 76.2 points per game (88th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 62.9 points per contest (36th-ranked). Arkansas is grabbing 33.8 boards per game this season (121st-ranked in college basketball), and it has allowed just 27.8 rebounds per contest (22nd-best).

In terms of three-pointers, Arkansas is coming up short, as it ranks seventh-worst in college basketball in threes made (4.7 per game) and 14th-worst in three-point percentage (28.7%). When it comes to defending three-pointers, things are clicking for the Razorbacks, who are ceding 5.3 three-pointers per game (16th-best in college basketball) and a 29% shooting percentage from downtown (23rd-best).

The Razorbacks have gone 8-2 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Arkansas has hit the over in three of its last 10 games. Arkansas has seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 75.5 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.7 points fewer than the 76.2 it has scored this season. Arkansas has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 63.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 62.9 it has surrendered this season.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

On offense, the Crimson Tide are the 14th-best squad in the country (82.9 points per game). Defensively, they are 205th (69.7 points conceded per game). In 2022-23, Alabama is best in the nation in rebounds (42.7 per game) and 304th in rebounds allowed (33.5).

Alabama is the 14th-best squad in the nation in 3-pointers made (9.9 per game) and 136th in 3-point percentage (34.9%). In 2022-23 the Crimson Tide are 27th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (5.5 per game) and 11th-best in defensive 3-point percentage (27.8%).

The Crimson Tide have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. Five of Alabama’s last 10 games have hit the over. While Alabama is putting up 82.9 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, amassing 82.4 points per contest. The Crimson Tide are allowing 74.6 points per contest over their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 69.7 points allowed.

Arkansas vs. Alabama Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Arkansas, and we expect that Alabama will cover the spread (Arkansas -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 153.5 points.

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How to bet Arkansas vs. Alabama

You can bet on Arkansas vs. Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arkansas vs. Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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