Arizona vs USC Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The USC Trojans (21-8, 13-5 Pac-12) will try to continue a four-game winning streak when hosting the Arizona Wildcats (24-5, 13-5 Pac-12) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Galen Center. This matchup is at 11:00 PM ET on ESPN.

Thursday’s matchup between the Wildcats and the Trojans features the Wildcats as close 2-point favorites. The game has an over/under of 154.5.

Arizona vs. USC Odds

Point Spread for Arizona vs. USC

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing Arizona as the favorite.

Arizona vs. USC Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Arizona has -141 odds to pick up the win, while USC is listed at +120 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Arena: Galen Center

Arizona vs. USC Betting Trends

Arizona has played 29 games, with 13 wins against the spread. The Wildcats have come away with 23 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Arizona’s games this year have hit the over on 15 of 29 set point totals.

In USC’s 29 games this year, it has 17 wins against the spread. The Trojans have won five of the 11 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (45.5%). USC’s games this season have hit the over on 15 of 29 set point totals (51.7%).

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Arizona vs. USC Key Players to Watch


Azuolas Tubelis puts up 19.6 points and 9.1 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 2 assists, shooting 57.3% from the floor. Oumar Ballo is posting 14.3 points, 1.7 assists and 8.8 rebounds per contest. Pelle Larsson is putting up 10.4 points, 3 assists and 4.4 rebounds per contest.
Kerr Kriisa paces his squad in assists per contest (5.5), and also posts 10.6 points and 2.4 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 0.6 steals and 0 blocked shots.


Drew Peterson tops the Trojans in rebounding (6.4 per game) and assists (4.7), and puts up 14.6 points. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Boogie Ellis is the Trojans’ top scorer (17.2 points per game), and he posts 3 assists and 3.8 rebounds. Kobe Johnson is posting 8.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, making 47.3% of his shots from the floor. Tre White gives the Trojans 9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Arizona Wildcats

In Arizona’s 18 Pac-12 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times. The Wildcats are allowing 71.2 points per game this season (218th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on offense, scoring 83.3 points per game (fifth-best). Arizona is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking sixth-best in college basketball with 36.9 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 136th with 30.4 rebounds allowed per contest.

Offensively, the Wildcats have performed better when playing at home this year, posting 85.2 points per game, compared to 76.4 per game in road games. This season, Arizona is making 8.6 three-pointers per game (56th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 37.4% (32nd-ranked) from downtown. The Wildcats are allowing 8 three-pointers per game (269th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 32.8% three-point percentage (112th-ranked).

The Wildcats are 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 games. Arizona has gone over the total in six of its last 10 games. Arizona has been putting up 80.9 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 83.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Arizona has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 67.9 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 71.2 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the USC Trojans

So far this year, nine out of USC’s 18 Pac-12 games with an over/under have hit the over. With 72.7 points scored per game and 66.3 points conceded, the Trojans are 157th in college basketball offensively and 71st on defense. On the boards, USC is 168th in the nation in rebounds (31.9 per game). It is 240th in rebounds conceded (31.9 per game).

In 2022-23 the Trojans are scoring 8.2 more points per game at home (76.4) than away (68.2). In 2022-23, USC is 296th in college basketball in 3-point makes (6.3 per game) and 178th in 3-point percentage (34.4%). The Trojans give up 7.3 3-pointers per game and concede 32.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 193rd and 121st, respectively, in the country.

The Trojans have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 contests, USC has hit the over seven times. While USC is averaging 72.7 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark over its last 10 games, tallying 76 a contest. The Trojans have played worse defensively over their past 10 games, surrendering 66.5 points per contest, 0.2 more points their than season average of 66.3.

Arizona vs. USC Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Arizona, and we expect that Arizona will cover the spread (Arizona -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154.5 points.

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How to bet Arizona vs. USC

You can bet on Arizona vs. USC at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Arizona vs. USC picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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