Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Alcorn State Braves (16-12, 13-3 SWAC) look to extend a four-game road winning streak when visiting the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (5-25, 4-12 SWAC) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET.

Thursday’s game between the Braves and the Delta Devils sees the Braves as 5.5-point favorites. The game has a point total of 139.5.

Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds

Point Spread for Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Alcorn State as the favorite.

Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alcorn State has -236 odds to pick up the win, while Mississippi Valley State is listed at +193 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 139.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Location: Itta Bena, Mississippi
  • Arena: Harrison HPER Complex

Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Alcorn State is 13-15-0 this season. The Braves have been victorious in nine, or 81.8%, of the 11 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Alcorn State’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 30 set point totals.

Mississippi Valley State has 20 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Delta Devils have won five of the 27 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (18.5%). Mississippi Valley State’s games this year have gone over the point total 50% of the time (15 out of 30 games with a set point total).

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Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Key Players to Watch

Alcorn State

Byron Joshua is tops on the Braves at 4.1 assists per contest, while also putting up 3.7 rebounds and 10.6 points. Jeremiah Kendall leads his squad in rebounds per contest (7.1), and also puts up 11.5 points and 0.5 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Dominic Brewton paces the Braves with 12.8 points per contest and 2 assists, while also averaging 3.9 rebounds. Dekedran Thorn posts 8.5 points, 2.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, shooting 38.9% from the floor and 32.3% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Mississippi Valley State

Terry Collins leads the Delta Devils in scoring (15.2 points per game), rebounding (4.6) and assists (1.8), shooting 34.3% from the floor and 34.9% from 3-point range with 2.5 triples per game. He also produces 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Rayquan Brown is putting up 13.2 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, making 44.9% of his shots from the floor. Alvin Stredic Jr. gets the Delta Devils 7.2 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Kadar Waller is averaging 7.1 points, 1.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, making 42.4% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Alcorn State Braves

Alcorn State has compiled a 7-9-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Braves are posting 68.5 points per game (267th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while surrendering 71.6 points per contest (226th-ranked). With 31.3 boards per game, Alcorn State is 213th in college basketball. It gives up 30.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks 171st in college basketball.

The Braves are scoring 76.8 points per game this season in home games, which is 12.3 more points than they’re averaging away from home (64.5). Alcorn State has been coming up short when it comes to three-pointers this year, ranking 14th-worst in the country in three-pointers made per game (5.2) and fourth-worst in three-point percentage (29.1%). This year, the Braves are giving up 7.4 threes per game (204th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 34.2% (208th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Braves have gone 8-2 over their last 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Alcorn State has gone over the total six times. On offense, Alcorn State has increased its production slightly over its last 10 games, scoring 73.6 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 68.5 it has put up over the course of this season. Alcorn State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (69.9) is 1.7 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71.6).

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What you need to know about the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Mississippi Valley State has won 11 games against the spread this year in conference action, while failing to cover five times. In 2022-23, the Delta Devils are second-worst in the country on offense (61.1 points scored per game) and 316th defensively (75.1 points conceded). Mississippi Valley State is 328th in the country in rebounds per game (28.5) and 266th in rebounds allowed (32.3).

In 2022-23 the Delta Devils are averaging 11.5 more points per game at home (70) than on the road (58.5). Mississippi Valley State is the ninth-worst team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (5 per game) and 132nd in 3-point percentage (35.2%). Defensively, the Delta Devils are 285th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 8.1. They are 303rd in 3-point percentage conceded at 35.8%.

The Delta Devils have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall in their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Mississippi Valley State has hit the over eight times. In its past 10 games, Mississippi Valley State is posting 70.4 points per contest, 9.3 more than its season average (61.1). The Delta Devils have fared worse defensively over their previous 10 games, ceding 75.7 points per contest, 0.6 more points their than season average of 75.1.

Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Alcorn State, and we expect that Alcorn State will cover the spread (Alcorn State -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 139.5 points.

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How to bet Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

You can bet on Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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