Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, March 12, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (28-5, 16-2 SEC) square off against the No. 2 Texas A&M Aggies (25-8, 15-3 SEC) in the championship game of the SEC tournament on Sunday at 1:00 PM. The winner will earn an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament bracket.

The Crimson Tide square off against the Aggies in a game that Alabama is currently a favorite by 5 points. The point total for the game is 145.5.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Odds

Point Spread for Alabama vs. Texas A&M

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with bookmakers listing Alabama as the favorite.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -222 odds to pick up the win, while Texas A&M is listed at +183 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 145.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Betting Trends

In Alabama’s 33 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Crimson Tide have won in 25, or 89.3%, of the 28 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Alabama has eclipsed the over/under in 45.5% of its opportunities this year (15 times in 33 games with a set point total).

Texas A&M has 23 wins against the spread in 33 games this season. The Aggies are 3-4 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.9% of those games). Texas A&M’s games this year have gone over the total in 16 of 33 opportunities (48.5%).

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Alabama vs. Texas A&M Key Players to Watch


Brandon Miller posts 19.5 points and 8.2 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also posting 2 assists, shooting 45.9% from the floor and 40.7% from beyond the arc with 3 made 3-pointers per game. Noah Clowney averages 10.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game, shooting 49.1% from the floor. Mark Sears puts up 12.8 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 40.9% from the field and 35.3% from downtown with 2 made 3-pointers per game. Charles Bediako posts 6 points, 5.6 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game, shooting 65.4% from the field.

Texas A&M

The Aggies receive 13.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Tyrece Radford. Dexter Dennis is putting up a team-high 5.7 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 9 points and 1.2 assists, making 39.3% of his shots from the field and 29.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per contest. Henry Coleman III gives the Aggies 9.5 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama is 13-7-0 ATS in conference action this season. The Crimson Tide are surrendering 68.7 points per game this year (137th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on offense, averaging 82.2 points per game (seventh-best). Alabama ranks best in the nation by averaging 40.6 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 290th in college basketball (32.8 allowed per contest).

Alabama owns a 33.8% three-point percentage this season (201st-ranked in college basketball), but it has really thrived by draining 10 threes per game (11th-best). The Crimson Tide are dominating in terms of defending against three-pointers, as they rank 14th-best in college basketball in treys allowed (5.5 per game) and third-best in three-point percentage allowed (27.9%).

The Crimson Tide have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. Alabama has gone over the total in five of its past 10 outings. Alabama has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 80 points per game in its last 10 outings, 2.2 points fewer than the 82.2 it has scored this season. Alabama has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 68.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68.7 it has conceded per game this year.

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What you need to know about the Texas A&M Aggies

A total of eight Texas A&M conference games this season have gone over the point total. In 2022-23, the Aggies are 134th in college basketball offensively (73.5 points scored per game) and 55th defensively (65.7 points allowed). With 34.1 rebounds per game and 28 rebounds conceded, Texas A&M is 50th and 27th in the country, respectively.

In 2022-23, Texas A&M is 311th in the country in 3-point makes (6.1 per game) and 262nd in 3-point percentage (32.7%). The Aggies are 275th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (8 per game) and 84th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.2%).

The Aggies have a 9-1 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Texas A&M has hit the over four times. Texas A&M is putting up 70.8 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 2.7 fewer points than its average for the season (73.5). The Aggies have played better defensively in their past 10 games, giving up 64.6 points per contest, 1.1 fewer points than their season average of 65.7 allowed.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Alabama, and we predict that Alabama will cover the spread (Alabama -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 145.5 points.

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How to bet Alabama vs. Texas A&M

You can bet on Alabama vs. Texas A&M at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Texas A&M picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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