Alabama vs Texas A&M-CC Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (29-5) will look to defeat the No. 16 seed Texas A&M-CC Islanders (24-10) in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at Legacy Arena at BJCC. This matchup tips off at 3:15 PM.

Thursday’s matchup between the Crimson Tide and the Islanders sees the Crimson Tide as an enormous, 24.5-point favorite. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Odds

Point Spread for Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC

The spread for this matchup is set at 24.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Alabama as the favorite.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -7044 odds to pick up the win, while Texas A&M-CC is listed at +1850 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Birmingham, Alabama
  • Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC

Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Betting Trends

Against the spread, Alabama is 20-14-0 this year. The Crimson Tide have won in 26, or 89.7%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Alabama has hit the over in 51.7% of its opportunities this year (15 times over 29 games with a set point total).

Texas A&M-CC is 17-11-1 against the spread this season. The Islanders have won two of the six games they were the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Texas A&M-CC’s games this season have gone over the total in 18 of 29 opportunities (62.1%).

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Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Key Players to Watch


Brandon Miller leads his team in both points (19.6) and rebounds (8.3) per contest, and also averages 2.1 assists. At the other end, he posts 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Noah Clowney is posting 10.1 points, 0.9 assists and 8 rebounds per contest. Mark Sears is posting 12.5 points, 2.6 assists and 3.4 rebounds per contest. Charles Bediako is putting up 6.1 points, 0.7 assists and 5.8 rebounds per game.

Texas A&M-CC

Isaac Mushila is putting up a team-high 9.7 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 14.4 points and 1.2 assists, making 54.8% of his shots from the floor. Terrion Murdix is recording a team-high 5.4 assists per game. He’s also contributing 13.4 points and 4.3 rebounds, sinking 48.9% of his shots from the field. Trey Tennyson is the Islanders’ top scorer (15.6 points per game), and he produces 1.2 assists and 2.3 rebounds. Jalen Jackson gets the Islanders 7.5 points, 3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He also posts 1.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide are giving up 68.5 points per game this season (127th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on offense, putting up 82.2 points per game (sixth-best). Alabama ranks best in the nation by grabbing 40.8 rebounds per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 295th in college basketball (32.9 allowed per contest).

Alabama is top-25 this season in three-point shooting, ranking ninth-best in college basketball with 10.1 threes per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 199th with a 33.8% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. In terms of defending three-pointers, things are clicking for the Crimson Tide, who are ceding 5.5 threes per game (14th-best in college basketball) and a 28.1% shooting percentage from downtown (third-best).

The Crimson Tide have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Alabama has gone over the total in four of its past 10 outings. On offense, Alabama has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 78.5 points per contest over that span compared to the 82.2 it has racked up over the course of this season. Alabama’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has given up 68 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 68.5 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.

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What you need to know about the Texas A&M-CC Islanders

The Islanders are the 17th-best squad in the nation in points scored (80.2 per game) and 254th in points conceded (72.5). At 34 rebounds per game and 30.6 rebounds conceded, Texas A&M-CC is 53rd and 146th in college basketball, respectively.

Beyond the arc, Texas A&M-CC is 139th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (7.7). It is 58th in 3-point percentage at 36.5%. Giving up 8 3-pointers per game and conceding 33% from downtown, the Islanders are 276th and 120th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Islanders have a 7-2-1 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over their past 10 games. Texas A&M-CC has hit the over in four of its past 10 games. Texas A&M-CC is putting up 79.3 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 0.9 fewer points than its average for the season (80.2). While the Islanders are giving up 72.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, allowing 70 points per contest.

Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Alabama, and we predict that Texas A&M-CC will cover the spread (Alabama -24.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154.5 points.

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How to bet Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC

You can bet on Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Texas A&M-CC picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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