Alabama vs San Diego State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 24, 2023

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A spot in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5) or the No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (29-6) when the teams square off in the Sweet 16. This game tips off at 6:30 PM on Friday.

Alabama is a strong 7-point favorite against San Diego State when the Crimson Tide square off against the Aztecs on Friday. The over/under for the game is set at 137.5.

Alabama vs. San Diego State Odds

Point Spread for Alabama vs. San Diego State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing Alabama as the favorite.

Alabama vs. San Diego State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -344 odds to pick up the win, while San Diego State is listed at +271 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 137.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Louisville, Kentucky
  • Arena: KFC Yum! Center

Alabama vs. San Diego State Betting Trends

Alabama has played 36 games, with 21 wins against the spread. The Crimson Tide have been victorious in 28, or 90.3%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Alabama has gone over the point total in 47.1% of its opportunities this year (16 times in 34 games with a set point total).

In San Diego State’s 34 games this year, it has 17 wins against the spread. The Aztecs have a 1-2 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). San Diego State’s games this season have gone over the point total 14 times in 34 opportunities (41.2%).

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Alabama vs. San Diego State Key Players to Watch


Brandon Miller averages 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 2 assists, shooting 44.1% from the floor and 39.5% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per contest. Noah Clowney averages 10 points, 7.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.5 steals and 1 block. Mark Sears is averaging 12.4 points, 2.6 assists and 3.4 rebounds per contest. Charles Bediako puts up 6.3 points, 6 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 1.9 blocked shots.

San Diego State

Matt Bradley is averaging a team-leading 13 points per contest. And he is contributing 3.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists, making 41.1% of his shots from the field and 36.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per game. Lamont Butler is the Aztecs’ top assist man (3.3 per game), and he posts 8.6 points and 2.7 rebounds. Darrion Trammell is putting up 9.5 points, 2.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game, making 35.1% of his shots from the floor and 30.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per game. Nathan Mensah is averaging a team-leading 5.9 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 6.1 points and 0.6 assists, making 54.8% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide are giving up 68.2 points per game this year (122nd-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived offensively, scoring 82.3 points per contest (fifth-best). Alabama is top-25 this season in rebounding, ranking best in college basketball with 40.9 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 288th with 32.8 rebounds allowed per contest.

Alabama ranks ninth-best in college basketball by sinking 10.1 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 178th in college basketball at 34.1%. The Crimson Tide have been shining in terms of defending against three-point shooting this season, ranking 12th-best in college basketball in threes allowed per game (5.4) and third-best in three-point percentage allowed (28.1%).

The Crimson Tide have gone 9-1 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Alabama has hit the over five times. Alabama has seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 81.8 points per game in its last 10 outings, 0.5 points fewer than the 82.3 it has scored this season. Alabama’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (66.9) is 1.3 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.2).

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What you need to know about the San Diego State Aztecs

The Aztecs are 175th in the nation in points scored (71.9 per game) and 25th-best in points allowed (63.1). San Diego State is 95th in the country in rebounds per game (33.1) and 20th-best in rebounds conceded (27.8).

At 7.1 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.9% from beyond the arc, San Diego State is 209th and 138th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. Defensively, the Aztecs are 73rd in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.4. They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 28.8%.

The Aztecs are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 contests. San Diego State’s past 10 games have not gone over the total. San Diego State is posting 65 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 6.9 fewer points than its average for the season (71.9). Over their past 10 games, the Aztecs are allowing 56.4 points per game, 6.7 fewer points than their season average (63.1).

Alabama vs. San Diego State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Alabama, and we project that San Diego State will cover the spread (Alabama -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137.5 points.

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How to bet Alabama vs. San Diego State

You can bet on Alabama vs. San Diego State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. San Diego State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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