Alabama vs Maryland Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 18, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (30-5) will aim to advance to the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament when they meet the No. 8 seed Maryland Terrapins (22-12) on Saturday at 9:40 PM.

The Crimson Tide match up against the Terrapins in a game that Alabama is currently a healthy favorite by 8.5 points. A 142.5-point total is set for the matchup.

Alabama vs. Maryland Odds

Point Spread for Alabama vs. Maryland

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Alabama as the favorite.

Alabama vs. Maryland Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -426 odds to pick up the win, while Maryland is listed at +326 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: Birmingham, Alabama
  • Arena: Legacy Arena at BJCC

Alabama vs. Maryland Betting Trends

Alabama has played 35 games, with 20 wins against the spread. The Crimson Tide have been favorites in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (90%) in those contests. Alabama’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 34 set point totals.

In Maryland’s 34 games this season, it has 21 wins against the spread. The Terrapins are 2-9 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 18.2% of those games). Maryland’s games this season have gone over the point total 11 times in 34 opportunities (32.4%).

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Alabama vs. Maryland Key Players to Watch


Brandon Miller leads his squad in both points (19.1) and rebounds (8.2) per game, and also averages 2.1 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocked shots. Noah Clowney posts 10.1 points, 7.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 0.5 steals and 1 block. Mark Sears posts 12.6 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Charles Bediako averages 6.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 0.6 steals and 1.9 blocked shots.


Julian Reese is averaging a team-best 7.3 rebounds per contest. And he is contributing 11.4 points and 1 assists, making 63.3% of his shots from the floor. Donta Scott gets the Terrapins 11.5 points, 6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He also delivers 0.7 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Hakim Hart gets the Terrapins 11.6 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He also delivers 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide have been led by their offense, as they rank fourth-best in the country by posting 82.6 points per game. They rank 138th in college basketball in points allowed (68.7 per contest). Alabama is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking best in college basketball with 41 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 295th with 32.9 rebounds allowed per contest.

Alabama ranks eighth-best in the country by making 10.2 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 174th in college basketball at 34.2%. The Crimson Tide have been shining in terms of defending against three-point shooting this year, ranking 16th-best in the country in treys allowed per game (5.6) and third-best in three-point percentage allowed (28.3%).

The Crimson Tide have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Five of Alabama’s past 10 games have gone over the total. Alabama has been racking up 80.4 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.6 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. The last 10 games have seen Alabama concede 0.1 fewer points per game (68.6) than its season-long average (68.7).

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What you need to know about the Maryland Terrapins

In 2022-23, the Terrapins are 204th in the country offensively (70.3 points scored per game) and 26th on defense (63.2 points conceded). On the glass, Maryland is 227th in college basketball in rebounds (31.1 per game). It is 62nd in rebounds allowed (29.1 per game).

With 6.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33% from downtown, Maryland is 237th and 241st in the country, respectively, in those categories. Defensively, the Terrapins are 16th-best in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 5.6. They are 98th in 3-point percentage allowed at 32.4%.

The Terrapins have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Maryland has hit the over in four of its past 10 contests. Maryland has played worse offensively over its previous 10 games, putting up 69.4 points per contest, 0.9 fewer points its than season average of 70.3. The Terrapins are giving up 64.8 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 1.6 more points than they are allowing for the season (63.2).

Alabama vs. Maryland Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Alabama, and we predict that Maryland will cover the spread (Alabama -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet Alabama vs. Maryland

You can bet on Alabama vs. Maryland at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Maryland picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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