Alabama vs Arkansas Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, February 25, 2023

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The Alabama Crimson Tide (24-4, 14-1 SEC) welcome in the Arkansas Razorbacks (19-9, 8-7 SEC) after victories in eight home games in a row. It starts at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 25, 2023.

The Crimson Tide match up against the Razorbacks in a game that Alabama is currently a healthy favorite by 8 points. The over/under for the matchup is set at 154.

Alabama vs. Arkansas Odds

Point Spread for Alabama vs. Arkansas

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with oddsmakers listing Alabama as the favorite.

Alabama vs. Arkansas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Alabama has -372 odds to pick up the win, while Arkansas is listed at +295 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Arena: Coleman Coliseum

Alabama vs. Arkansas Betting Trends

Alabama is 17-11-0 against the spread this year. The Crimson Tide have been victorious in 21, or 87.5%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Alabama’s games this year have hit the over on 13 of 28 set point totals.

Arkansas has played 28 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Razorbacks have gone 2-4 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). Arkansas’ games this season have hit the over 11 times in 28 opportunities (39.3%).

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Alabama vs. Arkansas Key Players to Watch

Alabama

Brandon Miller averages 19.5 points and 8 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.9 assists, shooting 46.6% from the floor and 43.1% from beyond the arc with 3.1 made 3-pointers per game. Mark Sears is putting up 13.4 points, 2.8 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game. Noah Clowney is tops on the Crimson Tide at 8 rebounds per game, while also posting 0.8 assists and 9.7 points. Charles Bediako puts up 5.7 points, 5.5 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 1.7 blocked shots.

Arkansas

Anthony Black is No. 1 on the Razorbacks in assists (4.4 per game), and puts up 12.9 points and 5.1 rebounds. He also posts 2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Ricky Council IV is the Razorbacks’ top scorer (16.6 points per game) and assist man (2.6), and delivers 3.5 rebounds. The Razorbacks get 10.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game from Davonte Davis. Makhi Mitchell is posting a team-leading 5.9 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 7.3 points and 1.1 assists, making 67.2% of his shots from the field.

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What you need to know about the Alabama Crimson Tide

In Alabama’s 15 SEC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times. The Crimson Tide sport a top-25 offense this year, ranking fifth-best in college basketball with 83.3 points per game. Defensively, they rank 139th with 68.6 points allowed per contest. Alabama is allowing 33 rebounds per game this year (299th-ranked in college basketball), but it has provided a lift by pulling down 41 rebounds per game (best).

The Crimson Tide are posting 89.8 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 15 more points than they’re averaging in road games (74.8). Alabama sports a 35.4% three-point percentage this season (119th-ranked in college basketball), but it has really thrived by sinking 10.4 threes per contest (sixth-best). The Crimson Tide have been getting things done when it comes to defending against three-point shooting this year, ranking 16th-best in the country in threes allowed per game (5.5) and second-best in three-point percentage allowed (27%).

The Crimson Tide are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their past 10 games. Alabama has gone over the total in four of its last 10 games. In its last 10 games, Alabama has been scoring 81.9 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Alabama’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (67.4) is 1.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.6).

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What you need to know about the Arkansas Razorbacks

Arkansas has covered six times in 15 chances against the spread in conference action this season. Offensively the Razorbacks are the 104th-ranked squad in the nation (75 points per game). On defense they are 62nd (65.5 points allowed per game). Arkansas is 121st in the nation in rebounds per game (32.8) and 40th in rebounds allowed (28.4).

In 2022-23 the Razorbacks are scoring 7.5 more points per game at home (76.1) than on the road (68.6). Arkansas is the eighth-worst team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (5 per game) and 315th in 3-point percentage (31.5%). Defensively, the Razorbacks are 11th-best in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 5.4. They are 71st in 3-point percentage allowed at 32%.

The Razorbacks have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests. Five of Arkansas’ past 10 outings have gone over the total. Arkansas is putting up 72.8 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 2.2 fewer points than its average for the season (75). The Razorbacks have fared better defensively in their past 10 games, ceding 63.2 points per contest, 2.3 fewer points than their season average of 65.5 allowed.

Alabama vs. Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Alabama, and we expect that Arkansas will cover the spread (Alabama -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154 points.

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How to bet Alabama vs. Arkansas

You can bet on Alabama vs. Arkansas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Alabama vs. Arkansas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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